12.9 C
Hamburg
Saturday, June 7, 2025
Home The Weekly MABUX Bunker Index Bunker FFA give hopes to scrubber investors

Bunker FFA give hopes to scrubber investors

The current differential in the cost of a tonne of Low Sulphur Fuel Oil (LSFO) and High Sulphur Fuel Oil (HSFO) averages about US$60/tonne, in Singapore, Fujairah, Rotterdam and Houston, compared to an average of US$350/tonne at the beginning of 2020, which has impacted the payback time for scrubber retro-fits.

“Looking at today’s bunker Forward Freight Agreements (FFA), indicate that the future spread could gradually widen in 2021 and push up the spread towards US$100/tonne,” a container market expert told Container News.

These numbers suggest that scrubber retrofitting for the next 12 months is likely to continue to attract bigger and newer container ships for scrubber investment.

This has been the pattern so far, with the ships that consume the most fuel being scrubbered first, which is the obvious strategy here.

Percentage of scrubber fits of trading fleet  –  by number of ships

 

Source: Courtesy of MABUX

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The market analyst explains a simple payback calculation, assuming that

  • a scrubber could cost a US$3.5m to purchase and install,
  • assuming that HSFO is priced US$300/tonne,
  • vessel time at sea averaging 70%
  • Assumption for this graphic that the fuel consumption is 120t and 50t per day

The numbers at the moment suggest that big ships will continue their scrubber reftrofit programmes in 2020/21 and for smaller-tonnage burning less fuel, the investment strategy will have to be a more longer-term and considered decision.





Latest Posts

Port of Long Beach appoints new managing director of engineering services

The Port of Long Beach has appointed Suzanne Plezia, P.E., as its new Managing Director of Engineering Services, succeeding Sean Gamette, P.E., who announced...

DP World and J.P. Morgan launch partnership

DP World Trade Finance has joined forces with J.P. Morgan to enhance access to working capital across emerging markets, addressing the persistent global trade...

Red Sea shipping traffic rebounds as Houthis limit targets

Red Sea maritime traffic has increased by 60% to approximately 36–37 vessels per day since August 2024, as Reuters reported. However, it still falls short...

CMA CGM applies new surcharge from Far East to West Africa

French ocean carrier CMA CGM has announced a peak season surcharge (PSS) for shipments from Northeast Asia, Southeast Asia, China and Hong Kong &...

China to counterbalance Panama setback through South America projects

As geopolitical tensions deepen and shipping lanes become politicized battlegrounds, China is recalibrating its approach to the Western Hemisphere. The recent retreat of CK Hutchison...
error: Content is protected !!